However, against the backdrop of the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak, the e-learning market in China experienced a surge in market demand. With the school summer break commencing in July 2020, various online education institutions entered the battleground of recruiting students for extracurricular tutorials. The competition is intense since the online education market in China is filled with a large number of players, and the market share gained by each player is fairly small. The bottleneck of achieving profitability has not been loosened, according to Caixin. China’s e-learning market looks for more in-depth development and more complex technology to promote the next round of development.

The e-learning market’s competitive landscape has taken its initial shape with K12 online education sector growing rapidly

After 20 years of devious development, China’s e-learning industry realized large-scale monetization with the support of “live-streaming” in 2017. In 2018, with the initial formation of the competitive landscape and the intervention of the government, the online education industry began the initial stage of maturity. Market competition in 1st tier cities is saturating, while 2nd tier cities became the new battleground. 

Data Source: Statista, Market size of online education in China is growing as more players enter the market

As of 2018, the online education market in China reached 251.76 billion yuan, and the number of paying users reached 135 million. The major players in the online education market in China are Yuanfudao, Zuoyebang, Xue’ersi, and Baicizhan. Higher education and vocational training account for 75% of the total market share.

The K12 education sector in China has grown rapidly, and its share has almost doubled in the past 6 years. K12 online education apps also occupy a far larger share in terms of the number of MAU in all fields of education. As of November 2018, the top three e-learning apps with leading MAU are all K12 online assignment-based apps. This is probably related to the “excessive assignments tactic” in many elementary and middle schools in China, wherein students are encouraged to hone their skills with an abundant amount of homework.

Data Source: iResearch, K12 e-learning is growing in market share   

It is also worth noting that in 2018, online education has also been officially included in the scope of supervision of the education industry. The Chinese government has issued national standards and evaluation schemes for online courses, in which engagement is listed as an important dimension.   

Under quarantine, the online education market in China revitalized, but the core issues remain unresolved  

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, schools of all types were postponed following the Chinese Ministry of Education’s notices. From February 10th to 28th 2020, the Chinese Ministry of Education issued a series of notices to provide guidance and measures to prevent and control the pandemic in the field of education.

Data Source: Baidu Index, Searches for online education surged during self-isolation period (Jan.- Feb. 2020, varies by cities) in China

Searches for online education on Baidu surged from late January to early February 2020. Moreover, searches for online education applications on the Apple Store, such as Zuoyebang and Xue’ersi, also increased significantly during this period of time. Yuanfudao, a leading online education platform, had advertized heavily on CCTV channels during COVID-19, leading to an increase of searches on the app store. 

Data Source: Qimai.com, Searches for Zuoyebang, Xue’ersi, and Yuanfudao searches on the Apple Store rose significantly during the COVID-19 self-isolation period. Zuoyebang remained the most popular online education application, whereas Yuanfudao showed the most dramatic growth thanks to its massive advertisements during the self-isolation period.

Despite market growth, homogenization, rough user experience, and fuzzy results still remain the core issues that hinder in-depth expansion of the online education market in China. With the intensification of homogenized competition, injecting huge capitals to boost growth has gradually weakened, whereas promoting growth through word-of-mouth and operation have received more attention. Online science eduation in China has lagged behind English tutoring, however we look at how COVID-19 boosted this market.     

Education System for Sciences in China is exam-oriented and routine   

The education system for sciences in China is  routine-oriented. From Year 1 to Year 6, students study Maths as a compulsory subject. After students enter secondary schools, all have to study Biology in Year 7, Physics in Year 8, and Chemistry in Year 9, in this order. Basic skills of Computer Science are taught from Year 7 to 9. These subjects are also tested in the Senior High School Entrance Examination, along with Chinese, Maths, English, Moral Character, History, Geography, PE.

When students enter Year 10 study, they have not yet chosen their orientation. Hence, students have to study all the subjects until Year 11, when they choose between either arts or sciences. Subjects under the sciences stream are Physics, Chemistry, and Biology, along with Chinese, Maths, and English. Students who chose the sciences stream don’t need to study arts subjects (Politics, Geography, and History). In Year 12, students continue to study the subjects under their chosen path.

In the College Entrance Examination, science students are tested on Physics, Chemistry, and Biology, along with Chinese, Maths, and English for the written part. It’s worth noting that arts students and sciences students work on different maths exam papers in the college entrance examination. Generally speaking, science education in Chinese high schools are fairly routine and exam-oriented, wherein students practice heavily on designed questions.

Limited scope of science education in schools gives birth to China’s online science education market; online Maths education market burgeoning

Due to the limited scope of science education in China, some parents will get their children involved in extracurricular learning clubs, such as robotics and coding. The ages of children attending such extra-curriculars is getting younger. In recent years, there are increasingly more K12 online sciences education platforms for the youth, especially online Maths education platforms.

The market segment and course types provided by online Maths learning platforms are quite similar, reflecting fierce competition in a homogenous market.  

By October 2018, there were four financing activities in the K12 online programing education sub-sector and 11 in online Maths learning sub-sector. 7 out of 11 suppliers gained capital, and most of them have large amounts of capital with over 10 million RMB. Compared to the online English learning market, which was developed much earlier and has entered into saturation, online maths education and programming training have become the hotspots of capital.

Zuoyebang, Xue’ersi, and Yuanfudao are the three leading online education platforms. However, instead of specializing in sciences education, these platforms provide full-disciplinary learning guidance services for elementary and middle school students. Yangcong Xueyuan (Onion Academy) is a leading online education platform focusing on K12 sciences education in China. Chengzhangbao is focusing on the training of children’s logical thinking and mathematical logic.

An interesting phenomenon is that people tend to enroll in classes across different platforms. Although these platforms are offering similar products and services, they still have minor differentiations regarding human resources, technology, user management, and foci of study.  

The prospect of online education market: An investment opportunity?

While there still remain core issues to solve in the online education market, we have seen emerging trends these years. The majority of online education platforms in the market offer an integrated solution to students, i.e. a comprehensive range of subjects, after-class homework, tutors, and online communities. There are increasingly more platforms specializing in science education, especially Maths learning, which are attracting significant investements. Moreover, the market has witnessed emerging trends of programing learning in early ages and adults learning data analysis for vocational needs.  

Data Source: YouGov, A survey results show that code/programming training starting from primary school as well as data analytics training and STEM education are considered to be the key accelerators for education development in Shanghai, China.    

Third-party (B2B2C) online education platforms, such as CCtalk, Tencent classroom, jioayu.taobao.com, which focus on adults education, also displayed a competitive advantage over traditional platforms in the market. Such platforms generally do not provide courses directly, but assume the role of middlemen, allowing the free inflow of a diversity of course types. They partner with educational institutions or individual teachers on one side and deliver content to end-users on the other.

The courses provided by these platforms varied from e-commerce marketing, Java to interior design, to name just a few. While the traditional B2C online education players tryied to differentiate in various segmentations, such platforms, backed by their Internet parent companies, aim at covering all usage scenarios and leverage online traffic to enter the market.

It’s expected that the growth rate of the online education market in China will remain at about 20% in the short term, with higher education and vocational training continuing to lead the market. However, there were many e-learning companies undergoing a state of loss, including Liulishuo and 51Talk. Loss is common in the e-learning market in recent years. However, the rate of loss has narrowed, and profitability is not indefinite. 

 In the future, online education companies are expected to achieve profitability, but the premise is to solve the fundamental problems of rough user experience and unpredictable results in order to further realize the survival of the fittest, increase market concentration, and ensure steady growth.

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This article The online education market in China is in a critical period is the first one to appear on Daxue Consulting - Market Research China.

Full transcript below:

Hello everyone, welcome to China paradigm, the show powered by Daxue Consulting where we interview seasoned entrepreneurs and experienced managers in China about their business and experience in the country.

Matthieu David: Hello everyone I’m Matthieu David the founder of Daxue Consulting and its podcast China Paradigm and today I am with Gordon Dumoulin. You are the founder of three companies and one of them being food, one being education with your wife. You have been in China for more than 10 years now, more specifically in Beijing. The first company we are going to talk about is in the food business, it’s called Dumoco – if I pronounce correctly – and it’s focusing on ingredients, very rare ingredients with specific effects on health, memory, basically health – how it can affect your health and I have a lot of questions about it. This is not a small market in China when we talk about health and ingredients to eat, we always think ingredients for traditional Chinese medicine and we talk about a Chinese herbology market which is about 150 billion to 200 billion USD of which 15%-20% is exported. It is growing. In some way, there is a paradox. The sales volume is growing but the number of TCM doctors and TCM health buddies are actually decreasing when we look at the numbers. It has been decreasing until 2010 and now, since then, it’s increasing again but still not at the level it was in the 1990s. So, it’s a very interesting segment because we have interviewed a couple of people before who were in health supplements and I believe you are very close to this market (learn more about the health supplement market in China).

The second business you are contributing to – because I understand that it was initiated by your wife – is education, Easton Bridge Education. So, it is based in Beijing, providing education centers in China such as English teaching and also art, science, and so on in Beijing to – I would say those upper middle class, middle class Chinese who are living in Beijing. I will have a lot of questions about this market too later on. Thank you, Gordon, for being with us. Would you mind telling me, if you want to add anything about the introduction of your two businesses and tell us more about what you do?

Gordon Dumoulin: Yes. Thanks for inviting me. It’s a nice opportunity to talk more about China, about doing business in China, and also about understanding China more. As you introduced very well, first I’m from Holland, the beautiful city of Maastricht in the South of the Netherlands and I’m living since 2009 in Beijing. Indeed, I’ve been doing the business with Chinese natural ingredients market called Dumoco. I set up the business myself in 2009 – operational 2010 and actually that came from a more Chinese natural ingredients market course or race. I have always been in the food business when I was living in Europe and when I moved to China some people and some business relations were asking me about some specific ingredients for traditional Chinese medicine and when you start a new business you need to take all the business what you can get to start up. So, I dived into some specific Chinese natural ingredients market and then I expanded to a wider range of natural ingredients. Basically, it’s indeed like you mentioned, related to ingredients for traditional Chinese medicine, functional herbs in which they come in many ways. We can use them for herbal teas, we can extract them, we can make powders and many of those are indeed coming into supplements. So, what we do here at Dumoco, we have different ways. First of all, we have our own export of different natural ingredients to Europe, to the States, Australia and to some other countries. Secondly, we do consultancy for the Chinese herbology market, Chinese companies, Chinese herb farms, cultivations, and also processing companies to consult them in quality control, which is usually expected in Europe and the type of quality control which is expected. So, we also do consultancy works in different provinces in China. The most important in this way is – as you mentioned, it’s a very interesting segment. You specified a little the TCM and also the TCM doctors, but we should look at more widely that – especially Chinese natural ingredients. Functional, medicinal, herbal ingredients are not only used in TCM. Actually, when we go to the States, in Europe, we go to many pharmacies, even to supermarkets and to other shops where you see many kinds of supplements, for sleeping, for being active, for focusing and for many other things. Actually, these are all already related to ingredients for traditional Chinese medicine, but not only to TCM, in Europe, but we have also had – now it’s much less –, many herbal remedies and still, today learning from our grandparents and even from our parents, that take these herbs or take ginger with lemon whenever you have a cold. So, there are many relations in this aspect, and the marketing, the model of marketing in recent decades, is that, of course, many modern fashionable companies who are doing supplements, but at the end of the day it’s all about the Chinese herbology market, it’s all about tradition and the history in this (learn about the push for Chinese medicine during the Covid-19 crisis).

Matthieu David: So, something I understand now, your market is overseas right, and you represent some producers from China, you help them to get the certification, do it the right way and you export their production overseas.

Gordon Dumoulin: Yes, yes. So, there are two ways, we do consultancy for Chinese companies. We help them in – among others quality control also in some export how to do business overseas and secondly, we have our export department where we have distributors in Europe, in the States, other countries who sell our products, which we manufacture in corporation with our partners in China.

Matthieu David: I understand that some of your people you know, wanted your help to buy those products in China because you were in China. What is surprising me is you have been able to also actually get the producers as clients for consulting to understand how to manage those productions and to export. Would you mind telling us more about how this articulated? Was it from the beginning that you were advising them and supporting them in production or was it in a later stage? How did you get this knowledge and how did you do it and how a foreigner can help them to do – to produce something they are used to producing.

Gordon Dumoulin: Actually, you are a link on both sides. You benefit from both sides. First of all, when you talk about the Chinese side, how you do business in general – we all know that. Its relation, you build up relations. So, at the beginning of 2010, I took night trains – 70% of my time going from one Chinese herb farm to another (learn more about China’s agricultural strategy). Going to productions who extract botanicals or pulverize to powders and you focus these people and it’s a way of doing business in China that – we hear there are many ways – also in the media, but it’s true it’s always about the win-win corporation. You also have to think about either your supplier or your customer, how they can benefit, and how you can benefit. Because if one doesn’t benefit, the relation will not last. So then it’s a natural growth that – of course with some people, you have a better relationship than with others, but you want to help them to improve because also for my benefit, because I’m buying products from them, so I want them to improve, so I can sell better products to my clients in Europe.

On the European side of the American side – European side they feel comfortable because Gordon is in China and I can speak a little bit the same language. And for many people in Europe or outside China, China is very far away and very unfamiliar so they don’t get a comfortable feeling, so this is what I can bring to them, and transparency is a very big word in this – because we are transparent. Our customers in Europe, they know the Chinese herb farms, they know the productions. They know everything. While many other people in the States or Europe, they try to hide because China is their treasure, so they say okay we deliver products, but we don’t tell you where or how – just the product is good.

But we did it the other way around. We are transparent and we build on trust. We built trust from all sides. So, it’s more like a community where we are in one way or the other the glue and the control and also trying to improve the whole community that everybody gets better in this way – and everybody makes money of course.

Matthieu David: I see. Talking about the product. When you talk about Chinese Chinese natural ingredients market, would you mind being more specific about what it is and especially what’s the difference between having supplements, what is the difference between ingredients for traditional Chinese medicine

 – CTM – one thing I didn’t say about Chinese medicine, Chinese traditional medicine – the World Health Organisation, WHO said, they accepted Chinese traditional medicine as a medicine and in June 2019 – the very recent was last year so I believe that may change a little bit your business and the perception of your natural ingredients by the West. By overseas markets. Would you mind sharing some more about Chinese natural ingredients market and how different they are?

Gordon Dumoulin: Yes. I’m not sure if this influenced the West, but I can explain a little bit more about TCM in general, I will not go into details. TCM, in general, it’s a different philosophy at looking at health. It’s also a more preventive way of looking at health. I’ll give you some examples. For example, they – a lot of people here in Beijing – eat radish after eating and you know when I just came here I said I’m full – I don’t want to eat radish or I’m not in the mood for radish. I better have dessert or some French teas but I looked it up, a radish has specific substances which make the probiotics start working. So, digesting your food. This is the same for nuts and seeds. You see Chinese people all over China and they eat a lot of seeds especially after dinner. And this is for the same reason. Chinese dates, the tribe dates they are often eaten before dinner because it lessens your appetite, so you don’t eat too much. So, in many ways subconsciously even many Chinese people will not have the straight answer why they do that, because it’s a tradition but generally eating or food in China is much more closely related to health and this is also coming back in TCM. In TCM there are many preventive measures, now, of course, you have many medicines which hardly exist in Europe and then you really talk about medicines concentrated syrups and other things, but the link is coming to supplements because supplements in Europe they have also a prevention. You don’t get sick, you have to eat vitamins, tablets every day or you have to drink lavender tea at night because you sleep well. So, there are many ways that you prevent something to happen. This is also in TCM – the value and WHO indeed appraised the TCM as being a medicine but is a different way and I don’t think it’s fully comparable. When you go to Chinese hospitals for example, usually for acute diseases which need to kill something and so to say in your body, you take a killer and it’s usually a Western medicine and you are cured. While –when you are for example having symptoms of something, you feel uncomfortable or you are having headaches or different kinds of symptoms, people often tend to look more to Chinese medicine to see how they can reduce the symptom. Not only to the medicine but to treatments and to behavior. So, the doctors will also tell you how to behave – the same as in Western societies, run more, walk more, do more exercise, sleep early, etc.

Matthieu David: I had a question about Chinese herb farms. Finding factories in China in some way it’s linked to overseas. It’s linked to foreigners and even that – finding the right factories, understanding the factories, how to work with them – it’s not easy. A lot of people struggle with that and you have been able to connect with entities which are Chinese herb farms which are much more remote, usually, I believe don’t speak English and I don’t believe they are used that much to export. Is my analysis correct and if it is – how did you handle it?

Gordon Dumoulin: Yeah first of all it is correct. The first question is actually why people are having problems finding the right partners, the right companies, right suppliers is – first of all, you have to be there. Like I said in the beginning, at the first year I spent 70% of my time in night trains really going to the countryside, visiting many companies, visiting also many Chinese herb farms and look – many were not qualified so –

Matthieu David: How did you find those Chinese herb farms. You can get a train to go to the countryside and then what do you do? How do you prepare?

Gordon Dumoulin: Oh, first we do some research.

Matthieu David: So, research how do you do it because it seems so unclear, so remote, so local – would you mind sharing a bit more?

Gordon Dumoulin: Yeah, I mean we are not going to the local, local Chinese herb farms – we are not going to a local farm whose producing vegetables for their village, but we are going to specialized Chinese herb farms because we are looking for the Chinese natural ingredients market. I’ll give you an example – for example, ginseng root which is familiar to many Western people, the area of the ginseng root in China is in Jilin province. Actually, at the border of North Korea so the famous mountain Changbai mountain is actually the homeland of the ginseng, so you study first. To come back a little early before I went to China, I didn’t know anything about the Chinese herbology market. So, I studied day and night, learning more about ingredients for traditional Chinese medicine, also studied – actually very simple, spending time on the internet talking to people, trying to find out – okay where is this, where is that? So, it’s also about relations, you talk to somebody and they know. Okay, we have a good company that has a plantation for ginseng. So, you take the train or the plane and you fly to Jilin, and you have a look around and you are amazed every day because you learn and then you find out this whole city is all about ginseng. And it is not the only plantation, there are 120 other plantations. So, you go to study more and you go to study more.

Of course, I have also Chinese people with me, who spoke Chinese at that time, because I didn’t speak and I still don’t speak very well, but they can communicate with the local people and we can find out more relations, more companies how to find out, but it takes time and you have to be here.

Matthieu David: So, your clients in the West, would you mind describing a bit more – are the restaurants? Are they more individuals? Are they doctors who are using it for traditional medicine?

Gordon Dumoulin: No, the majority are supplement manufacturers. So, the majority are – there are even big companies who produce actually natural supplements. Then, some of them are also cosmetic companies who are producing natural skincare (learn more about natural skincare market in China). So, we cannot supply to individuals because the quantities are too small because when somebody needs one kilogram and we have to fly that over, it will be very expensive for people. That’s why we also work with distributors. We have distributors in different countries like in the Benelux, in Germany, in France, Spain and we work with them – but they usually also of course target the larger companies and like I said, most is going into supplements, syrups, tablets, capsules, products like this and I think about 10 -20% maybe into skincare (learn more about the skincare industry in China).

Matthieu David: It’s more and more interesting what I’m discovering because I have – we are used to talking to people who are doing import and export businesses, but not at all in  Chinese natural ingredients market, not at all in food from China, but more from factories and we see plenty of people in this industry. So, I believe your business is very unique and your position is very unique. I’d like to understand more about – because you said transparency is very important – your clients know where the farm is. How do you handle the transparency on pricing if they know so much about the sourcing and so on – how do you work on the pricing?

Gordon Dumoulin: We move on the pricing together with our suppliers here in China. So, they know what we are asking in Europe and we also discuss this together. We don’t have any exclusivity, so our model is – actually, we have our own brands and that’s the local brand, so the end-users at the end of the day do not know where it’s coming from. Our distributors they know. If we have a very big customer who wants to visit a plant or wants to visit a plantation – he’s most welcome. They can come but we have to deal and we have the agreement with the suppliers that they know our customers and they will not touch our customers and even – so actually we put the security and that sounds strange for many Western people – we put the trust with the Chinese suppliers as – to be honest, I haven’t been cheated in 10 years. So, if any customer from Europe – and they know for example from which factory it’s coming, or even from which plantation – they need for example ginseng for an herbal tea if they would contact the Chinese herb farms directly the first phone call is coming to us. This guy is calling and how should we handle this? So, it’s in a way a matter of trust we can put and to be honest – we don’t have any legal agreements with this, because you don’t want to go into legal anywhere, so it’s a matter of trust and it’s again about relations what I said before. You build up relations with the people, you show them trust, you show them support, mutual support from both sides and a feeling that we are here to stay and we are going to make a good relationship together and also a pleasant relation together, for the purpose that we can sell and we can have some market.

Matthieu David: I understand. I feel that you are acting like an agent for them, an agent who will actually manage their exports and their overseas relationship. Does it make sense to say so?

Gordon Dumoulin: In one way yes, in one way, yes, but even some of them are large companies. They even have their own export department, so it’s not the only one – we are not working only with small companies, we are working with some leading companies in China for plantation, for processing and even there we have our relations and we do our own business with our own branding. We have good relations and we also support them as I said in the consultancy, in improving their processes and our processes together.

Matthieu David: You are involved in another business I mentioned initially, which is education. Business called – Easton Bridge Education. To give an idea to people listening to us how big this industry is – it is said that private schools account for 35% – let’s say 1/3rd of the total number of schools in China in 2018. So, it’s massive. I believe that the number of private schools in proportion is much higher in China than in Europe for instance. 53 million students are studying in private schools in 2018. That’s also a very fragmented market and when we look at the English language learning market for 2018 globally, China represents a third of it. Like 29-30% of the total. Final thing is that education for kids is one of the segments of the market where parents want to spend. They are eager to spend. When we look at some statistics in Shanghai, so private bilingual schools on the time of education of the kid, parents who were affluent could spend 100 – 200 thousand USD – of course, that’s over many years, but that’s a sizeable amount of money that Europeans, for instance, are not spending. Most Europeans don’t spend, even the affluent ones in Europe. Would you mind telling us more about what you do in the education business in Beijing and a bit more about your clients as well? I’d like to know if what I just described corresponds to what you see.

Gordon Dumoulin: Yes, actually the education has been also born from a – in a natural way. Like you mentioned my wife – we started up Dumoco together 10 years ago. She is from Beijing and at that time she was not my wife yet and we set up the business and we were business partners. She helped me and as we all know the business at the start is a difficult one, so we were fighting for Dumoco for the extract, for the Chinese natural ingredients market, and for the export network and at one point we were – living in the outskirts of Beijing and we had an office at the time, a small office and so my wife at that time said – there are two kids here on the floor and they want to learn English from a foreigner and me was a European mindset, focused and I didn’t study for this and I don’t want to do this, I need to spend time on Dumoco, and then I came to one of my first confrontations of Chinese ways of thinking because she showed me the balance sheets and she said – you still want to pay me or not? So, that was a good one and so she – so I said actually its good. Let them come and we can teach them at the weekend. So that was actually her education. She’s an English teacher, she has an English teaching degree and her passion, her dream is her own school – her own English school (learn more about China’s language school industry).

So, we started this for two kids and we expanded, we rented an apartment here in the Tongzhou district in Beijing and fast forward we 8-9 years later we had a full program in our apartment, so we rented another apartment, ran a full program. Especially in the weekend, and also after school – with me teaching in the weekend to support her and she taught during the week and we had two other teachers and since last summer we moved – we found a corporation and an investor also with a license because we were not actually official, so we found an investor with an education license, we moved to where I’m sitting now, we moved to a new school – 400 – 500 square meters, with also more teachers and now we have about 150 – 200 students running and besides that we are doing international summer camps. So, in the past year, we have organized summer camps to Boston, to London, to Holland. Last winter, just in time before everything was closing – to Singapore. So, this is – yeah this is in a nutshell where we came today.

Matthieu David: I see – what you do is an education center based in Beijing and also education – how do you say that? Education travel?

Gordon Dumoulin: Yeah, we call it winter camps, summer camps, English summer camps, so we find corporations with schools abroad, in the US, Europe, Singapore last winter and then we send them on training there together with some – of course with some other educational culture tourism natural aspects as well.

Matthieu David: How would you describe your clients? Are they very wealthy? Are they affluent? Are they themselves parents have degrees or the opposite, they want the best for their kids because they don’t have degrees? How would you describe them? How would you qualify them?

Gordon Dumoulin: We have many different kinds of clients, of course, you need to spend – I mean they spend quite a lot of money on English courses. Usually average you spend for a 60-hour course as frat you spend about – and then you are not expensive, this is for normal smaller schools you spend between 1 -1.5 thousand USD per kid and then you are talking about group classes. When you have one to one classes you spend even more, but many of them – we are building actually also a very large social environment because most of the parents are here so we get to know them and when it’s clicking we are eating together and drinking some wine –we see that many – of course first of all people need to be able to afford, because some of them taking three classes and then they also have a piano class in the music school and they have an art class in the art school – so they are quite filling, but many of them are entrepreneurs, they have their own business in many different ways, in many different sectors. Some of them work – I would call it the upper-middle class because – no actually the whole middle class. We have some lower – we also have a girl she’s living in a village; she’s coming by bus really 45 minutes by bus, just to spend 45 minutes here and they’re really struggling for this, the parents – both are really struggling for this but the average is middle class. The upper class will have their own really higher private education because then it’s what the price counts – so I would call it you know, average middle class and to be honest, the middle class in China is doing very well and is very much comparable to European middle class – I think you know as well and even in some ways better off in terms of spending power. On what can be spent. So, yes, the clients are all families, most of them all go to public schools and the children go to public school and to our education center based in Beijing. I have a son of 7 years old, he’s going to public school here and many of our kids are his classmates, at least in the same school and to be honest, just as an example how still rare it is also – I’m living really in the outskirts of Beijing, my son is in a public school and this is – it’s a huge public school, I think about 1500 students and I’m still the only foreign parent in the whole school. So, it’s also like an imagination for the listeners that you’re still a minority as so to say but a blissful minority. It’s not something negative at all. But you get close to the people, you get close to the residents in the compound, also with the school – the school has its social factor in this.

Matthieu David: What are the parents looking for? Are they looking for opening the mind of their children? Are they looking for core competencies like English – being fluent in English, or are they looking also now and because the education market may be more mature than before – are they looking maybe also to learn how to play a piece of theatre? How to learn instruments? How to do liberal arts, drawing, and so on? What’s your perception of it and the evolution of it over the last 10 years? My perception and I’d like to know if you agree with that is that – 10 years ago it was much more about core skills, learning English – learning maths, learning whatever core subjects and now it opening up to the drawing, dancing, music instruments, playing theatre. Is my understanding correct? Do you see that with your clients?

Gordon Dumoulin: Yeah, I see that and you are correct. It’s more – you have specific courses, when you talk about English, you have specific courses but our general courses have the aim that the students and the kids are able to express themselves and they feel comfortable to express. We do – in our education center based in Beijing, we do many ways, we play Shakespeare, we have many jokes, we do games and all in English and it’s all about that they can feel more comfortable in expressing themselves. I don’t correct them every time when they make a mistake. Let them talk, let them express, let them speak – and this trend what you just mentioned is correct, people are looking for – you know, kids who are more able to express themselves, to be more diversified in many ways, also internationally that they learn more. We also talk a lot about cultures in other countries so they learn more about this. I’m amazed about what the kids know here about other cultures in comparison to what I learned in Europe about China which was a big mystery at that time. But I’m amazed at what they already know and I want to give it a more attaché that they also see and feel. So, yes and then we have specific courses also of course – I mean for example when a kid needs to have an exam for a certain school, for example, Cambridge or Toefl or things like that, we have specific courses to prepare them for this, so there’s also, of course, a specific target course and then we have the general language course.

Matthieu David: I see, so still you feel that there’s a functional need for education to pass the exam, but it’s opening up to more liberal arts and more non-core skills. One other thing you are mentioning on your LinkedIn profile – it’s a bit another topic, but you say change is inevitable. You have written that – why do you say so, because I wanted to ask you because Peter Drucker who is a consultant we look into a lot at our company Daxue consulting, invented the name of strategy and business, is saying – what’s in common with all entrepreneurs? It’s not their education, it’s not where they come from, it’s not their social background, what they have in common is that they think change is positive. They see change as full of opportunities when none entrepreneurs would see change as a threat. As something which is threatening their position. So why are you writing change is inevitable?

Gordon Dumoulin: Because first of all this – how you look at it, it doesn’t matter. Whether you take it positive or as a threat, but I do believe that change is inevitable. We have a very – unfortunately not a lot of positive situations today, all over the world because of the coronavirus but change is inevitable and that’s what I learnt also here in China. Indeed, in Europe, many people see change as a threat, but in China, you have to change, you have to adapt. There is a certain – I don’t call it negativity, there’s a certain nervousness that you need to improve, you need to change, or this doesn’t work so we need to go another way. There’s always something happening and this is also coming to my third passion what I’m doing, I’m also doing a blog of 5iZ – actually started, I’m no longer on LinkedIn. For me, it’s cross-cultural awareness about different cultures and different societies what the change is there, and what are the differences there. And so, what I learned in China – change is inevitable, but I also see that in other societies that this applies also to other societies and if you see it as a threat it holds people back and societies as well.

Matthieu David: I wanted to talk about 5iZ as you mention it, and especially about the name, I found it very interesting and shows how deeper you know China. You named 5iZ because China is not talking about North, South, West, East only – but also North, South, West, East, and Centre like Tiananmen being at the center of China and the center of the world. Would you mind telling us more about what does it mean for you?

Gordon Dumoulin: Actually it has been – you know, before I went to China I was most of the time in expert management jobs, so I traveled for about 15 years all over the world, meeting many cultures and doing business there, coming to the homes and so you know – culture was always a passion for me and seeing different cultures, and I had been in China before I had moved here, also many times but just being here for a week is something else and plunging in a black hole and start to live here. And China gave me – China as a country, as a society gave me so much learning that you can look at things in so many different ways. We have been brought up which is normal, as Chinese have been brought up here and Europeans have been brought up in Europe, you always have some kind of mindset in the culture and the society where you grow up, and this is natural and this is normal. And having the opportunity to live here, spend time here in a practically almost Chinese environment it was really – I’m very grateful having that experience and banging many walls because you have your own mind-set and like everybody is stubborn and everybody wants to have their right. So, you have many different learning experiences about how people think and how other people can think and approach new things. So, it’s very important that people start to realize all over the world that there are many differences in culture and cultural intelligence in how to do things. Also in business and when we go then into the business side you have many fantastic models on how to do business, but at the end of the day, it’s about feeling the people and about feeling the country and also knowledge about what worries those people – what is their daily life. What’s it all about and how they approach problems, and opportunities as well. How they teach their kids, how they live at home. I’ve been grateful in this and I wanted to share that and coming back to the name, 5iZ – yes center is a very basic thing which I feel also a little now. You know I mean – all the changes happening for example today – also with the virus, but Chinese society 10 years ago and today is completely different almost. You go through many changes and you learn to be more resilient. You learn to be calmer and tackle problems, threats, or opportunities in a calmer, resilient way and if it doesn’t work – fine, you go to the next opportunity.

Matthieu David: It’s close to 1 hour, I have a few questions to end the discussion. The first one and I often ask these questions – what books inspired you the most when understanding about China?

Gordon Dumoulin: For me, one book generally, not only about China – and I read it last year, I’m still reading it again – it’s The Silk Roads, from Peter Frankopan. It’s a fantastic book about the history and about the world history but through a very different perspective and the message what you learn there is that the history what we learned as a kid, in our society is very different from the kid in another society. Such as China or anywhere in the world. And so, this is a book I really recommend – also in understanding China. First of all, you cannot understand China completely – no one understands China, you don’t understand France – I don’t understand France completely – you all have these few items which characterize a country but this is nothing to make this diverse society clear because it’s very diverse. So, just for the perspective – read this book and know that you know nothing about the country. So be objective when coming here.

Then some other books – first of all, there are many books about how to do business, how to be successful, get your things, e-commerce – digital retail, new retail – all this. Read those books, some of them are great but it’s not about understanding China, it’s about understanding the market because China is a society and its people. This is what I’m always telling many people – because people want to know about China – I say why do you want to know about China? Because I want to do business – I say either you find a good local partner, then you don’t need to understand China. If you want to understand China you need to know the culture, you need to spend some time, you need to read about it. Few books that I have on this one is – first of all, a very old one and but still, it grasps a good feeling, its Red Star Over China – from Edgar Snow. Red Star over China- he was an American, he was actually the first foreigner who met Mao Zedong and this story gives you an insight also how people think and we are not talking about the historical events, but how people think and many thoughts are still applied today – how people think in terms of the collectivity of pragmatism in many – the many characteristics which are not defined, but which indicate as the characters of Chinese society is coming back. Secondly, I think – I don’t know if people have seen the Wandering Earth – the movie, the Chinese science fiction movie, a great one last year – I’m not sure if it’s not Netflix already – because I don’t have Netflix here, but read his book, it’s from Liu Cixin, he is one of the biggest science fiction writers in China – so in general, read either fiction or non-fiction biographies if you want to learn about China more.

Matthieu David: If I say more, The Three-Body Problem is written by him as, well right?

Gordon Dumoulin: Yes, exactly.

Matthieu David: And it has been popularised by Obama who read it before it was published and The Dark Forest the other one which was – yeah – I think he’s buried in Peking University and he was the first one – maybe the only one, but he was the first one I’m sure to be the member of the Chinese communist party and he lived in China all over the different periods of China, including during the controlled evolution. What are the most surprising success for you in China and the most surprising failure in China you have witnessed? I’ll give you an example of mine – I’m very surprised how e-commerce developed, because when I arrived people were paying cash at the front door when they get delivered and they didn’t want to use their credit card and now it seems that they use their phone to pay with a QR code that could be scanned with another number, taking more money than what you really want to pay. So, it’s a change I wouldn’t have expected to go so fast and so far.

Gordon Dumoulin: Yes, coming to your example this is very true and we always think about Chinese 10 years – 15 years ago with piles of cash because they wouldn’t trust anything else and they wouldn’t trust other people – while this is totally gone in 10 years, in less than 10 years even. But yes – I mean the daily change, as an example the daily changes that are happening – but also the daily changes and the daily speed what’s happening to yourself. You are really coming in to – you are forced to keep moving, to keep moving either by new regulations, by new opportunities, other companies like you say the new retail is coming. We are forced today, we are forced today with the quarantine or the confinement – our school has been closed for 2 months because we are not allowed to open and we don’t want to open because we want to be safe. We are already working, we have now our video classes at the weekend, we have our online classes. My wife is teaching almost the whole day online classes. We have set up an online library – we all did this in a matter of weeks. As for the surprising success is indeed the fast change which is happening and that you can adapt to that. So actually, this success is not more like business success, but it can come out in the business – the success is that you must break yourself open. You must be more adaptable and you must be more wide looking in things which you might be stuck in the business – for example, you have been doing business for 10 – 15 years at home or Europe or even here in China and you say I cannot do anything else. This is what it is. No, this is not true, even within your own business you can innovate. You can differentiate. As for the speed of differentiation of innovation is stimulated – also even forced upon you because – not forced in a negative way but you go with the flow, and you also want to lead some of those flows. So, this is I feel really a success in myself that you are much more wide – open-minded in doing business.

Matthieu David: Last question – what do you read to stay up to date on China? What are your sources? I believe that’s a common question for foreigners – what kind of sources can they use? It’s hard to read the Chinese newspapers, even for people who have a very good Chinese level HSK 5 or 6 – it could be hard. So, what are the other sources you are using to stay up to date on what’s going on?

Gordon Dumoulin: First of all, I think – of course, you have some English language – like China Daily, Global Times – many people see these newspapers often as not very objective but actually there are many interesting articles and there are many insights which can teach you more about China. Also, about society, also about governance. Some more other sites – there’s also one site – it’s called Sixth Hong and they have some social articles, articles about society, about what’s moving the people and different kind of aspects, they touch these topics and you have similar sites of this like RADI China, Sub China – so you actually have different sites where you can find – so to say non-mainstream insights of China. Because the mainstream – people know but there’s actually – it’s not very interesting because it’s always coming back to the same, and it doesn’t give you an image of society and when you want to do business here or when you want to be interested or when you are interested in China, you need to know more about the people and what’s moving the people – because they are your customers or your suppliers and you also want to trust your suppliers. So, try to find some other news agencies which diversify the news. Of course, go to my blog, I post almost every day different things about Chinese society. LinkedIn is also a fantastic medium with many people telling their own experiences and their own insights and so – this is usually the sources what I’m using, and then, of course, you have the Chinese twitter – Weibo, you have WeChat where you find the trends, what’s happening in China.

Matthieu David: What’s the link for your website?

Gordon Dumoulin: 5iz-China.com.

Matthieu David: Thanks Gordon for your time, thank you very much it was very instructive, very interesting to see how you have been able to develop your business on natural ingredients, a very unique business I believe. I wouldn’t have the chance I think to interview someone who has been able to go into this industry which looks very, very local. Thank you everyone for listening and stay safe during these times of virus outbreak. I hope you all stay safe.

Bye, everyone.

China paradigm is a China business podcast sponsored by Daxue Consulting where we interview successful entrepreneurs about their businesses in China. You can access all available episodes from the China paradigm Youtube page.

Do not hesitate to reach out our project managers at dx@daxue-consulting.com to get all answers to your questions

This article China Paradigm transcript #98: Doing business in the blossoming Chinese natural ingredients market is the first one to appear on Daxue Consulting - Market Research China.

The number of students going abroad is mounting every year as increasing numbers of Chinese students are looking for an experience overseas. Between 2008 and 2016, the number of students studying abroad had increased from 179,800 to 544,500 showing overwhelming growth. In 2017 alone, 608,400 students left China for overseas study. This fast growth has been developing since 2010 and has been growing year on year. Today, China is the largest source of international students and is expected to grow. Yu Minhong, the founder and CEO of the New Oriental Education and Technology Group as well as a member of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference’s National Committee, estimates that the number of students studying abroad will peak at 700,000 to 800,000 each year. However, the coronavirus outbreak has caused Chinese students to re-evaluate their study abroad plans, gradually initiating a shift in destination preferences and post-grad decisions.

Why is China’s study abroad rate increasing?

The price of student exchanges has also become increasingly more affordable as the booming economy has allowed more parents and students to meet these heavy costs. This has allowed more Chinese students the opportunity to go overseas in order to increase their chances of employment after graduation. This is especially important as 2010 brought a higher percentage of unemployed graduate students causing students to look for ways to differentiate themselves in the job market. Many students, however, despite the abroad experience often return home with the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) being 14.9% for returnees and 11.7% for students going abroad. This is as many students intend to go back after studying or find the job market overseas too difficult with them often having lower revenues. The government also offers incentives to returnees in China with them having better opportunities in larger cities which they would not have been able to access without foreign education.

Chinese students studying abroad: Destination preferences

Due to China’s massive population, it sends more students abroad than any other country and this number is still rising. This is seen with growth in the number of returning Chinese students overtaking the number of students studying abroad in 2016. The United States (US), however, has been the preferred destination for many Chinese students with it remaining the top destination year on year.  The quality of a US education is reputable and many Chinese students study in the US may hope to stay and live there after graduation in order to enjoy the lifestyle of a developed country. Further, many Chinese international students prefer to study in English speaking countries with the US, Australia and the UK making up approximately 60% of outbound students. China is also the largest source of international students in many countries with Chinese students accounting for 30% of students in America, Canada, Australia and New Zealand.

However, what may have been a popular destination could be fading due to the pandemic and various political clashes (such as trade war).

According to a report on the economic impacts of the pandemic published in April by the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission, a host of issues can reduce Chinese demand for higher education in the US in the following academic year. These include delays or cancellations of US entrance exams in China, travel restrictions, and the perpetuating uncertainty of when US college classes will be in-person. The economic impacts could be severe as nearly a third of all tuition payments to US public universities stem from international students. Also, cancelled university recruitment events in China and inability to work with local recruitment agencies could further contribute to the decrease in enrolment (learn more on how the coronavirus has impacted Chinese students’ study abroad decisions).

Prior to the coronavirus outbreak, there has already been a decline in enrolments from Chinese students in US schools, most of which are part of the larger picture of rising Sino-US political tensions. For instance, visa refusals have been a common problem facing Chinese students. As such, the development and job opportunities back home prove to be attractive reasons for the drop in Chinese students seeking to settle overseas after graduation, which was 85.4% in 2013 but 79.4% in 2016.

Other countries are also increasing their awareness in China as they gain market share slowly and Chinese students are ready to assess new destinations. It is clear, however, that English speaking countries have an added advantage to attract Chinese students who want to better their English speaking skills. Some regions have become more popular with East Asia and the Pacific taking a significant portion of Chinese students with the convenience of location. This is with Japan as the 4^th most popular country and South Korea as the 6^th most popular country in 2016.  This is also with Chinese students accounting for 57.3% of international students in Japan and 49.3% of students in South Korea. Many students also studied in Hong Kong due to its proximity.

Why do Chinese students study overseas?

Chinese students abroad: Social, personal and professional benefits

When surveyed it was found that 82.5% of companies and employers give returnee employees privileged treatment. A CCG survey found that almost half of the Chinese students surveyed who studied abroad believed that they were more competitive than their peers who studied at domestic universities. This is proven true with 20% of companies promoting returnees faster and 17.5% preferring returnees for core positions and 50% of state-owned enterprises claiming that they welcome returnees into core positions. These figures alone show the importance employers place on abroad studies with these high percentages indicative of the professional benefits provided to those with an overseas degree.

Another benefit this provides for Chinese citizens the influence abroad education has on Hukou. Hukou is strict and complicated household registration system which also doubles as a domestic passport that regulates the Chinese population both socially and geographically. It determines factors such as where a person can live and work, where their children can go to school particularly so if they belong to a rural area and the social welfare benefits they can receive. Returnees from abroad studies get a more flexible Hukou transfer policy which helps them settle down in tier 1 cities and gives them more opportunities in terms of experience and salary. Further, preferential policies are also provided by the government to get returnees to start a business by providing grants and incentives such as free or discounted offices or tax-free cars. This is in order to attract Chinese talents back to China.

Besides the social and professional benefits provided by organizations and the government, there are personal benefits for Chinese students who go on exchange. This is evident as 64% of Chinese international students pursue abroad education in order to enrich their personal experience. This includes improvement of their English skills, the knowledge they gain of a different culture, overseas life experience and an international network. These benefits can be gained by any student studying overseas but English based exchanges are particularly beneficial for Chinese students who have been studying English throughout a school. This is as it gives students a chance to gain practical experience in a different environment that makes them more employable in the long run. Other than Chinese and Spanish, English is one of the most widespread languages in the world. It has gained increasing importance with English being an official language in at least quarter of the world, with 400 million people speaking English as their first language and 1 in 5 people being able to speak or understand some English. The role of English in China cannot be understated especially as it is integral for professionals to compete within the business environment. This is illustrated with parents understanding this importance as they start English education early in order for their children to start off more competitively, thereby spiking the demand for English teachers in China.

Another major benefit is also the waiving of the Gaokao entrance exam. Gaokao is the test undertaken by high school students in order to study at university and it is known worldwide for being an extremely difficult and stressful exam. The test has been said to determine the course of a student’s life and is the only way to enter university. The supply of university spots is also known for not meeting demand- making the pressure on high school students enormous. Those who previously did not anticipate abroad studies and those determined to study overseas do not need to pass Gaokao which takes a significant amount of stress off of students.

Chinese studying overseas: Criteria for students picking universities

As studying abroad is very important for students and parents a lot of thought goes into picking the university and country they will be studying at. A big determining factor to consider is the country itself. This requires evaluating the country itself by its size, population, economy and development degree. Chinese people prefer countries which are bigger and have a larger population, higher economic power and the development degree which makes the US the most popular country to go to. Some students are also concerned about the culture of the country itself.

Further, the school awareness in China that is the school’s brand reputation is very important. This is evident with 61% of students in a survey conducted by WSE choosing school reputation as the top consideration of school selection, with the success rate following at 48%, school location at 40% and expected income level after graduation being at 39%. This is as about 80% of international Chinese students go back to China after graduation which makes the school’s awareness and reputation important when considering job prospects in the future.

Moreover, the ranking itself is very important with many different versions of school rankings applying in China to help students and parents make decisions. This includes the QS World University Rankings and the Academic Ranking of World Universities and ranking in the top 100 is very beneficial to students wishing to return to China.

Additionally, the curriculum offered by the school itself is vital. This is with weight in decision making relating to the design of the curriculum, the composition of it, the availability of course choice, the quality and exclusivity of each course and even the internship opportunities that the school supports.

Lastly, whilst all of the above is extremely important, the cost is often a major determining factor. This includes the cost of tuition, living expenses and scholarships available. As such, many students go to Hong Kong for further study due to the lower expense and some European countries provide free public education for the same reason. This is evident with 45% of students being concerned about the cost of studying abroad, compared to only 27% of parents. Cost is especially important as 89% of students traveling abroad self-finance their study so they are very receptive to scholarships or less expensive locations.

International education: How do Chinese people look for information to choose the right university?

Chinese study abroad agencies and specialized education companies are important in helping students to pick countries and universities to study abroad at. They offer a broad range of services to students and help foreign universities and programs get more visibility among students. Due to the services offered, student’s families are willing to a pay a large amount of money for these services which include counseling services on programs, assistance in preparation, application and admission processes, test preparation, English classes as well as international study tours. The Beijing overseas service association also can help abroad institutions to select good partners among agencies to promote institutions in China.

Further, as stated, online information is very important with Chinese students spending a significant amount of time looking at the best destination, university ranking and application process. As such, a good online presence is essential for an overseas university- especially if it is not a top ranking one. Particularly, 31% of students depend on social media when researching for their study destination. They also look to the alumni network for recommendations and feedback as students trust advice from those who have attended the school itself. As such, it is important for universities to have good ambassadors as Chinese students want to hear about the university in a more personal and informal way.

Trends in types of study undertaken by Chinese students

The types of study undertaken by Chinese students themselves vary with the type of study they undertake. This is with Master and Bachelor degrees at the forefront of reasons for going overseas for study, with other avenues collectively making up the remaining 31%. There is, however, a preference for longer study programs over shorter ones. This is with slower growth for shorter study options in comparison to the faster growth experienced by Bachelor and Masters degrees. This is as shorter exchanges are not as popular with Chinese students who prefer to spend the duration of their program overseas with four or two years being favored over a few months.

There are also trends evident in the degrees undertaken by Chinese students. This is with both engineering and business management as the most popular degrees chosen by students. However, in 2016 subjects shifted as more students paid attention to their own preferences over parental preferences and what is expected of them. This was evident as the Center for China & Globalization reported a decline in 2016 with students studying engineering, computer science and IT, math and statistics and social sciences, whilst the number of students who chose to study business management, foreign language and literature and education increased. Further, it was mentioned that subjects relating to business management, trade and corporate management and finance have increased as development in China has created more demand for professionals in these fields.

Market difficulty in China for student exchanges in lesser-known countries

Consulting agencies specializing in overseas programs still promote the US and other popular speaking countries such as the UK, Canada and Australia. As such, standing out from those countries can be quite challenging for smaller countries. This is as knowledge of the country studied at and a school’s ranking is very important for students. This is due to the implications it has for the employability of students, especially those wishing to return to China. Further, social recognition and prestige also play a role beyond professional necessity which can also be a determining factor for parents and students, especially from tier 1 cities.

Study abroad: The Belt and Road Initiative and its effect on Chinese international students

According to Forbes, the Belt and Road Initiative will affect 60% of the world’s population with the participation of 76 countries from Asia, Africa and Europe. The trade and infrastructure undertaking is thought to be one of the most ambitious undertakings in human history and is viewed as ‘a sort of 21st-century silk road’. Along with connecting through trade, Beijing currently offers 10,000 places each year for students who come from countries within the Belt and Road Initiative with China attracting more than 200,000 students from 64 of 68 Belt and Road countries in 2016. Further, since 2013 when the launch of the Belt and Road initiative took place, Chinese students have also flocked to Belt and Road countries with 24 educational agreements being signed between some of these countries since April 2017. This initiative opens up substantial and wide opportunities to educational bodies of countries within the initiative, with the Chinese government wanting to strengthen both educational and trade bonds between countries.

Opportunities for brands wanting to enter the Chinese market

Chinese students prefer English speaking countries in order to improve their English as it is a must-have skill in the work environment with 60% of Chinese students currently going abroad to the US, Australia and the UK. As a result, this increasing need for English helps leverage English speaking countries for exchanges as a whole – not just the top destinations sought by students. This is seen as Chinese students are now exploring new countries for overseas studies. There is, however, due to the Road and Belt Initiative, an opportunity for growth for many more educational organizations and countries to attract Chinese students using the initiative as leverage to strengthen the appeal for Chinese students. This is especially where educational organizations are not within the top 100 or are as well known to Chinese students. This awareness in China is particularly important as going abroad is meant to enhance employability and employment opportunities which cannot be achieved without businesses being aware of the educational organization. Further, an emphasis on the social and personal benefits students are looking for, along with strengthening programs in the more popular university courses, will help make organizations stand out to students. Most importantly, recognition by the Chinese Ministry of Education of the degree and the university itself is necessary for recognition and desirability among the Chinese.

Moreover, there are opportunities for educational organizations that are located in less expensive countries or areas should highlight their desirability and more expensive schools should offer scholarships in order to appeal to students who are self-financing their abroad study. However, it is also important to note that the urban middle classes are also estimated to increase; a McKinsey survey in 2015 found that there were 10 million affluent households with more than 300,000 RMB, and it is estimated to be 18 million by 2020. These households were mostly found in tier 1 to 3 cities but tier 4 to 5 cities were found to be steadily increasing their income. This growth in disposable income and wealth among cities is likely to have a positive effect is on expanding the number of students studying abroad and providing opportunities for more countries than in the past. Although there have been recent declines in Chinese students studying in the US as well as more returnees upon graduation, studying abroad is still a reflection of social mobility and status. The UK sits behind the US as a top destination, with pursuing a master’s degree as an attractive choice with its one-year program considering costs and study requirements. In the coming years, we may see a larger shift in the preference of university destinations among Chinese students in light of the recent events.

See how COVID-19 has impacted Chinese students’ aspirations to study and work abroad.

Author: Jessica Farrell 

Daxue Consulting has conducted a series of surveys on Competitive Benchmarking in China and developed a specific framework to analyze the key insights related to your competition in China.

Competitive analysis is defined as identifying your competitors and evaluating their strategies to determine their strengths and weaknesses about those of your product or service. Daxue provides you with the tools needed to win in a market full of players.

This article Education elsewhere: China seeks out exchanges in other countries is the first one to appear on Daxue Consulting - Market Research China.

Different types of preschools in China

There are two kinds of preschools in China, each with their different purposes. The combination of preschool and kindergarten contributes to children’s preparation for elementary schools.

Public kindergartens & preschools

Public kindergartens in China have two forms that are distinguished by organizers and funders. The first type is the government-built public preschools that gain funds from the government and are supervised by local governments. The other type is self-funded preschools that raise funds as enterprises and are managed by the local education department. These two kinds of kindergartens both play roles in benefiting people by charging low expenses, decreasing financial strain on families. These schools aim to help children prepare for elementary school, so teachers teach basic manners and knowledge. However, such preschools recruit limited students each year.

Private kindergartens & preschools

Unlike public preschools, private kindergartens created by privates aim to make a profit. Such preschools can be regarded as supplements to public preschools, allowing more students to attend preschools. Private kindergartens also have two types: ordinary and high-key. Ordinary private preschools aim to solve the difficulty of enrollment that many children face when trying to enroll in public preschools. The other kind is high-key preschools. High-key kindergartens usually hire foreigner teachers to teach students, allowing students to enjoy a bilingual environment from early childhood. Meanwhile, high-key preschools pay attention to children’s overall development. However, the expenses of private preschools are usually much higher than in public preschools.

Top 10 kindergartens in China

[Source: eol “Top 10 kindergartens in China”]

Trends of the preschool market in China

As China’s economy expands, parents have more and more economic power to give their children a better education. Thus, many types of preschools have emerged.

International kindergartens are popular

Currently, parents are willing to send their children to international kindergartens. Such preschools hire foreign teachers to teach students. They not only teach from the textbook but also organize extracurricular activities like baking and scientific experiments. Although such schools cost upwards of 200,000 RMB per year, numerous parents still hope their children can enjoy high-quality educational resources. In Zhihu, a writer shared her daughter’s experience at an international kindergarten in Beijing. The international kindergarten helped children learn self-care. Children learn to make requests, ask for help, and express their own opinions.

Preschools plus the internet are in trend

As institutions benefit from increased digitalization, preschools utilize the internet to help manage and improve interactions among children, parents, and teachers. Children can use online platforms to obtain up-to-date information while interactive games help children learn in a fun way. Come Chinese parents are used not to being involved in their children’s kindergarten lives. However, those apps can allow them to know what their children learn in class as well as monitor their performance. Also, such platforms benefit kindergarten teachers. They can use online platforms to arrange courses and deal with educational administration.

Many parents take their children to extracurricular preschools to avoid losing at the starting line

In addition to regular preschool classes, parents also send their children to various extracurricular preschools. Those parents believe that learning more after class can make their children more excellent. Children can consolidate the knowledge they gain at school. Additionally, they can learn many new skills outside regular classes. Codemao Kids, a programming learning website for children, enlightens kids through games, exercising their critical and creative abilities.

Issues of the preschool market in China

Although the preschool market in China has enjoyed success, it still faces some issues. Limited seats induce a competitive enrollment process, and bare teacher welfare makes the industry lack talented professionals. Also, occasional scandals trigger societal anger and disappointment in preschool education. These problems disturb the development of the preschool market in China.

Competitive enrollment

A limited numbers of kindergartens causes difficulty in enrollment. During the enrollment period every year, a competitive process unfolds at kindergartens. Parents stay up waiting in line to sign their children up. Limited quotas in those public schools and expensive tuition create a difficult situation for parents.

Lack of talented professionals

An increasing amount of children necessitates higher requirement of professional teachers. The Center For Education Policy of Southwest University estimated that China needed near 4 million professional kindergarten teachers in 2021, while the gap was 2 million. Kindergarten teachers can only earn a low income. Also, kindergarten teachers’ social status is low, so few people with higher degrees are willing to work as kindergarten teachers. Thus, it is hard to make up this gap in a short time.

Scandals spark the societal outrage

Abuse and bulling occasionally happens at kindergartens and causes tremendous harm to children’s physical and mental health. It also triggers society’s anger toward the management of kindergartens. In 2017, a case at RYB kindergarten child abuse shocked Chinese citizens. The kindergarten teacher, by the name of Liu, harmed four children, inducing mental harm on those children. Influenced by this case, the stock price of RYB slumped 38.41%. This event exposed the incomplete management of the kindergartens. It led to an appeal to strengthen management and train more highly qualified teachers.

[Source: Weibo People’s Daily “People express anger to child abuse”]

Uncertainty during the coronavirus outbreak

As older students in secondary schools can autonomously conduct e-learning during the quarantine period, it can be difficult for parents to navigate education for their little ones, in preschool especially. The main issues surrounding online teaching apps is that there is a lack of supervision, an improper learning atmosphere, and that teachers are unfamiliar with online learning. As it takes time for educational implementation and adaptation, preschools in China need to address potential concerns from parents, such as their decreased confidence in the schools’ handling of the initial outbreak and the transition to in-person classes as the situation eases.

The preschool market in China is bright

After evolving over the years, the preschool market in China has made significant progress in improving children’s education and enriching the content of kindergartens. Children are the future of a country, so preschool education is essential. Although the preschool market in China contains many difficulties, the market scale is continuously enlarging. With the development of more sound policies, the future of the preschool market in China is still promising.

After evolving over the years, the preschool market in China has made significant progress in improving children’s education and enriching the content of kindergartens. Children are the future of a country, so preschool education is essential. Although the preschool market in China contains many difficulties, the market scale is continuously enlarging. With the development of more sound policies, the future of the preschool market in China is still promising.

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English teachers in China are very much in demand as language schools struggle to keep up with the growing English education consumption. Just over the period of a year, from 2016 to 2017, there was a 298% growth from 123.6 billion RMB to 489.7 billion RMB in the English Education market in China. English consumption is especially growing in tier 1 cities with Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen and Guangzhou driving the market with the largest populations and GDPs in China. This is with an English penetration rate of 65%. This means that more than half of the citizens in these cities in 2017 received extra foreign education outside of school with 86.5% of this learning being focused on the English language. Further, China’s English education market size is estimated to reach almost double of the figures in 2017, reaching 947 billion RMB in 2019.

Demand higher than the number of English teachers in the Chinese market

There are an estimated 100,000 English teachers needed in China which are expected to increase further over the next few years. This consumption of English is important as English class is compulsory in China’s primary schools from their third year for a period of four years, middle school for a period of six years as well as in the first two years of university. This adds up to more than 2,000 hours studying English which is more than any other course. As a result, 60% of English teachers in Primary schools in China teach more than 50 students in one class and 90% of middle schools teach more than 40 students. This need to learn English has to lead to a large quantity of kindergarten and private schools now offering to teach English to young children in China. This is in order to start English education as early as possible as parents seek the best teachers in order for their children to begin school more competitively. Further, the slowing down economy has increased the need for children to get the best education in order to get jobs. Consequently, many places hiring English teachers are raising salaries, offering more benefits and following regulations in order to lure teachers away from Japan and South Korea to cater to this demand.

Requirements for teaching English in China: Chinese parents as drivers of English language

Parents are very particular about their children’s English teachers in China as they look for highly skilled and experienced tutors and value their children’s view of their teachers. North American Teachers are particularly in demand from Chinese parents. This is as parents believe that North Americans have good pronunciation and lively teaching method styles which will help keep their children engaged. Moreover, many parents hope their children will study in the US or Canada in the future.

Further, the nationality of the teacher, that is, whether or not they are from a popular English speaking country is important to parents. This is as the type of English teacher they can afford is an indicator of social status. Consequently, hiring a foreigner is a privilege and gives them social status recognition from their peers. As a result, even though a skilled Chinese native is perfectly capable of teaching English, parents still prefer foreigners due to the social implications it has for them. Moreover, parents sometimes prefer an English teacher from a popular country, where English is their second language, such as Russia, over non-popular countries. As such, whilst parents place substantial weight on teachers’ skills and experience, along with their child’s opinion of the teacher, there is also a significant focus on the teacher’s nationality which is viewed as indicative of quality and social status.

English education consumption in China: What education expenditure Chinese parents are willing to bear

With parents as the drivers of demand, they are very willing to spend a substantial amount of money on their children in order to allow them a better future. This is evident as 13 billion RMB is spent by Chinese parents yearly for education outside of school as a whole. As a result, a large amount of household income for families is spent on language classes for their children. This is evident as 73% of parents surveyed revealed that they spent at least 10,000 RMB, that is 1,580 US dollars, on English classes per year. As the Chinese market, consumer segmentation is currently shifting from adults to young children as parents are spending more on their children’s education instead of their own.

This is as parents mainly only need to learn English due to professional requirements of their job which necessitates them improving their English skills or their want to learn English in order to reach new career goals or improve their personal life. Other reasons may include an aim to become a Chinese teacher, for a promotion, the improvement of skills for future career development, for the improvement of social status, for business travel or a long-term transfer abroad or for personal comfort when traveling abroad. However, many adults in these categories do not have or have few family expenses and are likely single unless they are studying for necessity. This is as families main concern is on their children’s education in order to give them the best start in life. Further, this trend can be seen in that ESL (English as a Second Language) schools were first created to teach English to adults, but as demand has shifted towards children, educators and schools have adapted their teaching methods and systems accordingly.

Segmentation of English education in the Chinese market

Within China, there are two kinds of channels, that is schools and companies. Schools are broken up into international schools, public schools and universities where companies are separated into offline and online. This is with foreign English teachers mainly working in international schools and English training companies.

Chinese English training market: Main players

There are 0.3 billion consumers in the Chinese English training market and more than 50,000 English training institutions. As English language providers enjoy this robust demand, there is still a need to stay competitive. This is evident with providers such as Alo7 leveraging their knowledge in order to help regional companies who are competitive in their teaching content but who lack large tech departments. This company specializes in AI for computerized adaptive assessment testing and aids companies who want to get ahead of rival language providers. Another way of staying competitive, however, is the range of offerings a company has in terms of the ages classes are open to and class groupings. This is with many organizations choosing to focus on young children but who also may provide services to adults who need to improve their English.

An international school targeting children is Children’s Tales International Kindergarten which aims its programs at 2 to 6-year-old children in classes of 20 to 25 students depending on the level of the child. The school uses assistant teachers from English speaking countries with teaching experience in Kindergarten in their home country and teaching English as a second language. The school is located in Beijing and Chengdu and its’ focus on children is a major selling point with it being so in demand.

In terms of Private language schools in China, there are three main companies that do English tutoring. The first of which is Wall Street English which conducts one-to-one lessons or small classes in person, online, at home or at the private school itself. The company hires foreign teachers from native speaking countries and with 70 schools across 11 cities, the international organization is famous for English Teaching. In comparison, Shanghai Bell Language school hires native teachers from the UK and operates in Shanghai and Beijing with English Language school headquarters in the UK. Learning Education School also hires native English speakers from English speaking countries with a focus on children from ages 3 to 16.

In regards to online language schools, there are two main companies that teach English in the Chinese market. These are Itutorgroup and Landmark Education. Itutorgroup hires foreign teachers from native speaking countries and is able to provide its services online throughout China. Its teaching structure consists of small classes or one-to-one lessons for adults. Comparatively, Landmark Education hires native speakers of the English Language that are preferably fluent in Chinese in order to project its services all across China to children.

The truth about teaching English in China: Regulations for foreigners applying for English teaching jobs

Official regulations for foreigners applying for English teaching jobs in China are set out by the State Administration of Foreign Experts Affairs. This body requires that English teachers in China be between the age of 18 and 60 with a bachelor degree or above. Further, at least two years of experience is needed along with teaching English as a Second Language certificate with 100 to 120 hours of teaching experience. Additionally, if an applicant is a non-native English speaker, they need a bachelor degree with an English major or a master of education.

Teach English in China: Parents preferences in practice

Recruiters and organizations of teaching schools care very much about what parents want as they drive the demand. Therefore, factors such as teaching skills and experience, qualification certificates and teachers’ countries of origin that is whether they are from a native English speaking country, preferably a popular one, is very important to organizations. Additionally, organizations prefer those under 50 years old and those from the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and the US.

Foreign English teachers recruitment across various channels in China

In China, the more popular the school, the more difficult the recruitment is. This is especially in order to comply with parental expectations about the education their children will receive. As a result, for English native teachers from less popular countries in China, finding a job in a prestigious international school can be difficult. This is as international schools have a very selective screening process for recruitment, starting with the nationality of teachers which can be a determining factor for parents in choosing schools. As such, companies are trying to make themselves more attractive employers in order to gain the more desired teachers. This is even in spite of organizations needing official qualifications from the government to employ foreign English teachers in China which can be difficult depending on the region.

[Source: The table is developed by Daxue Consulting research team]

Moreover, language schools in the Private education sector in China are also highly motivated to continuously improve in order to charge higher tuition fees and attract high-quality students. This is with most private schools using student information and human resource systems in order to track student progress and to recruit and train teachers. For less popular countries, in particular, the best channel for English tutors is private language schools, where conditions are good and recruitment is based on certificates and experience, or international schools from smaller cities such as tier 2 or 3, where competition is less important. Further, universities and private language schools have higher criteria when recruiting foreign English teachers in China but with less preference towards nationality.

Online channels are also growing rapidly with Online English training companies attracting 1.8 billion RMB of investment in 2017. There are three companies that claim that they have more than 10,000 foreign English tutors, which are Tutorabc, 51talk and Dada. By running their business online, it allows these companies to extend their business across China instead of concentrating on singular specific areas.

Case study: Barbados

Barbados is an example of a place that has limited popularity and awareness within China. The Chinese population who look it up are mostly looking for basic information about Barbados such as finding out more about the country or looking up terms which have something to do with the country. There are 605 average daily requests with the searches coming from mostly tier 1 cities who want to learn about other countries. These search terms, however, are only limited to the country itself and tourism, not the native English speakers themselves who can teach their children. Further, in terms of this awareness, Barbados is in the middle range of smaller English speaking countries. This is only limited to the country itself and tourism, not the native English speakers themselves who can teach their children. Therefore, in order to aid teachers coming from Barbados, experience and qualifications of tutors must be clearly highlighted as well as the English history of the country.

Further, there is a phenomenon in the Chinese market called the group effect. This effect has lead to Chinese parents accepting tutors from Russia and the Philippines and has a positive influence on any nationality. For it to be enacted, an influx of a single nationality is needed in order to develop awareness among parents. Therefore, if a company wanted to enter the Chinese market with teachers from Barbados, a large concentration of Barbados teachers would be needed to gain acceptance from Chinese parents. This is as awareness is needed by the Chinese community in order to establish the county’s popularity. This is needed before parents will decide whether or not they want to use their services based on the social implications it can have for them.

Clearly, however, famous English speaking countries have larger search requests when compared to smaller English speaking countries. This is seen through the ranking of Baidu, the Chinese search engine equivalent of Google, which ranked the requests for English-speaking countries in the past 6 months. Not surprisingly the US was at the top, followed by the UK, Australia, Antigua and Barbuda, Bahamas, Dominican Republic and Saint Lucia.

Opportunities for teaching organizations of popular and non-popular countries in China

The Chinese English Training Market is far from saturation- the high demand for English teachers from English native countries is a good opportunity for many countries whether or not they are popular. This combined with the economic growth in China has driven consumption of education. More expensive foreign English tutors are becoming more affordable for Chinese parents and adult students. Teaching English to children has become a flourishing market, as education comes first in many households to ensure children have professional success. Therefore, staffing agencies that can provide and gather English teachers to existing Chinese English teaching institutions, expanding an overseas language group or even starting an English teaching school are expected to be profitable with the current demand for education.

Further, the group effect as mentioned can be beneficial to any nationality if done correctly. This is evident as the influx of English teachers from Russia and the Philippines has made those teachers acceptable to parents and are sometimes preferable to Chinese teachers. Those wanting to enter the market, should target and send tutors to cities such as Shanghai, Beijing and Chengdu with a large group of teachers concentrated in these areas. This is in order to increase the awareness of the nationality of these tutors and their qualifications among the Chinese. Further, targeting private schools or international schools in smaller cities with less competition or aiming at places with an emphasis on qualifications and experience over nationality. Additionally, working with private language schools with high recognition and that have a network within different cities such as Wall Street English would be a good driver to gain trust among the Chinese population. Most importantly, an organization needs to develop an awareness of the nationality of teachers to be entering and as such collaborating with other industries will help spread awareness and knowledge of an English teacher’s skills and proficiencies.  This, however, depends on what positioning an organization wants to enter at and as such advice is suggested before embarking in China.

Author: Jessica Farrell 

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This article Shortage of English teachers in China: Opportunities for foreign organizations and teachers | Daxue Consulting is the first one to appear on Daxue Consulting - Market Research China.